Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.000700 0.000795 0.000896 0.001010 0.001136 0.001269 0.001422
2025-09-14 0.000548 0.000680 0.000829 0.001008 0.001218 0.001453 0.001737
2025-09-21 0.000460 0.000607 0.000780 0.000998 0.001262 0.001570 0.001951
2025-09-28 0.000390 0.000544 0.000733 0.000981 0.001290 0.001661 0.002135
2025-10-05 0.000354 0.000518 0.000727 0.001007 0.001368 0.001810 0.002387
2025-10-12 0.000322 0.000492 0.000716 0.001026 0.001433 0.001944 0.002623
2025-10-19 0.000285 0.000456 0.000688 0.001016 0.001460 0.002028 0.002796
2025-10-26 0.000253 0.000421 0.000658 0.001003 0.001479 0.002099 0.002952
2025-11-02 0.000232 0.000402 0.000647 0.001013 0.001528 0.002209 0.003161
2025-11-09 0.000211 0.000380 0.000631 0.001014 0.001562 0.002301 0.003346
2025-11-16 0.000184 0.000347 0.000595 0.000983 0.001551 0.002328 0.003444
2025-11-23 0.000161 0.000317 0.000563 0.000955 0.001541 0.002356 0.003542
2025-11-30 0.000146 0.000299 0.000547 0.000952 0.001568 0.002436 0.003714
2025-12-07 0.000133 0.000284 0.000535 0.000952 0.001598 0.002521 0.003896
2025-12-14 0.000120 0.000266 0.000516 0.000942 0.001612 0.002582 0.004045
2025-12-21 0.000106 0.000247 0.000495 0.000925 0.001614 0.002626 0.004169
2025-12-28 0.000102 0.000244 0.000499 0.000950 0.001682 0.002766 0.004434
2026-01-04 0.000096 0.000238 0.000499 0.000968 0.001738 0.002891 0.004679
2026-01-11 0.000087 0.000225 0.000484 0.000960 0.001751 0.002952 0.004831
2026-01-18 0.000078 0.000211 0.000467 0.000947 0.001757 0.003001 0.004966
2026-01-25 0.000073 0.000204 0.000464 0.000956 0.001800 0.003106 0.005186
2026-02-01 0.000067 0.000196 0.000455 0.000957 0.001827 0.003189 0.005373
2026-02-08 0.000059 0.000179 0.000431 0.000928 0.001803 0.003190 0.005438